
EIA Crude Inventories Draw 0.4M vs Forecast 1.4M Draw
EIA crude inventories drew 0.4M for the week ending September 4, versus a 1.4M draw forecast and a 4.5M prior draw — a smaller-than-expected decline.

EIA crude inventories drew 0.4M for the week ending September 4, versus a 1.4M draw forecast and a 4.5M prior draw — a smaller-than-expected decline.

USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.

GBP/USD under pressure near 1.3525 (−0.17%) as hot PPI keeps a September Fed hike in play. FedWatch nearly 70% chance of a 25 bp increase; Brent above $100.

Silver slides near $64.35 (−4.39%), below $65, as hot PPI lifts Fed hike bets. FedWatch ~70% this stamp, up from about 61% pre-data. DXY ~98.90; 10y ~4.92%.

Democrats are pushing a CLARITY Act provision directing regulators to set conflict-of-interest standards for vertically integrated crypto firms, citing FTX/Alameda-style structures, while Republicans warn the language could be weaponized by a future Democratic president. Sen. Cory Booker is negotiating wording with Sens. Lummis and Boozman ahead of next week’s cloture vote. Ethics language and bank opposition to stablecoin yield remain open.

Gold near $4,368 (−0.75%) as hot PPI keeps Fed hike odds elevated. FedWatch ~64% next-week hike vs Reuters economists’ pause through year-end — both quoted, not averaged. DXY ~98.96; 10y ~4.92%.

USD/INR hits a fresh 10-day high at 95.47 as oil extends its rally on intact US–Iran tensions. RBI still intervening in spot and NDF; FCNR mobilisation stamped at $136.38bn.

AUD/USD eases to the 0.7160 area (tech 0.7167) from a ~0.7220 peak as hot PPI firms the dollar. China ~$54B financial stimulus and RBA hike bets still support; oil near $100.

USD/JPY advances near 154.15 (+0.40%) as hot PPI (5.4% YoY) and claims at 206K lift the dollar. FedWatch nearly 70% chance of a rate hike on this stamp, up from about 61% pre-data.

Gold slides near $4,346 after an intraday high of $4,434 as hot PPI lifts the dollar, yields and Fed hike pricing. FedWatch ~64% next-week hike vs Reuters economists’ pause through year-end — both quoted, not averaged.

WTI jumps toward $97.00 (+2.93%) as US–Iran escalation lifts the supply-risk premium. Reuters: Iran hit 10 ships near Hormuz after the US sank five Iranian tankers; Houthi hits on Saudi energy facilities.

Lagarde says inflation stays well above target into 1H27 and returns around target toward end-2027, with longer-term expectations near 2%. Data-dependent stance; further tightening may follow. Soft ECB print + EUR post-print — PC≠hike reprint.