
USD/CAD Near 1.3815 as CAD Firms, Oil Extends Rally; FedWatch ~64%
USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.
EUR/GBP loses ground to around 0.8585 in early European trade after Destatis July industrial production fell 1.1% m/m. Consensus +0.3% and Destatis-side forecast +0.1% are both quoted; they are not averaged.

EUR/GBP loses ground to around 0.8585 in early European trade on Monday after soft German industrial production.
Destatis showed July industrial production −1.1% month on month. Primary consensus on this page is +0.3%. The Destatis-side forecast on the broader tape is +0.1%. Both are quoted. They are not averaged. The prior month was revised to 0.0% from +0.2%. Year on year, activity fell 1.6% in July versus a 0.5% decline in June on the same page.
The ECB is widely expected to raise the deposit rate by 25 bp from 2.25% to 2.5% on Thursday — Capital Economics’ Andrew Kenningham on this wire: the governing council “looks certain” to do so.
For the Destatis print and the EUR/USD reaction, see German IP July miss and EUR/USD ~1.1610.
Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence at 5.1 in September is a separate sentiment print — distinct from this German IP / EUR reaction tape.
Eurozone Q2 GDP revised to 0.6% with employment +0.1% is a separate Eurostat print — distinct from this Sentix / German IP / EUR cross tape.
GBP/JPY’s six-month low below 209.00 is a separate yen-cross tape — distinct from this BoJ / Japan / EUR-GBP note.
EUR/JPY’s 1.11% slide toward 179.45 is a separate yen-cross tape — distinct from this EUR / BoJ / euro-area print note.
Informational only. Not trading advice, signals, or a guarantee of any market outcome.
Written and fact-checked with AI assistance, reviewed by a human editor before publication.
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USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.

GBP/USD under pressure near 1.3525 (−0.17%) as hot PPI keeps a September Fed hike in play. FedWatch nearly 70% chance of a 25 bp increase; Brent above $100.

USD/INR hits a fresh 10-day high at 95.47 as oil extends its rally on intact US–Iran tensions. RBI still intervening in spot and NDF; FCNR mobilisation stamped at $136.38bn.