
USD/CAD Near 1.3815 as CAD Firms, Oil Extends Rally; FedWatch ~64%
USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.
USD/JPY holds near 155.85, virtually flat, as BoJ tightening expectations offset the dollar bid after August NFP printed +162K vs 56K.

USD/JPY trades around 155.85 on Friday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day. The pair remains stable despite the US Dollar’s positive reaction to a much stronger-than-expected US employment report, as the Japanese Yen retains support from expectations of monetary tightening in Japan. That is the Friday 4 September 2026 stamp. The morning USD/JPY near 155.75 stays the pre-print sibling.
US Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 162K in August, compared with market expectations for an increase of just 56K on that page — the same print on our live NFP PRINT. Primary consensus consensus for the same Non-Farm slot was +55K; both consensus stamps are quoted separately and are not averaged. July’s figure was revised to 21K, while June’s reading was raised to 31K. The Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 4.1%, in line with expectations. The Labor Force Participation Rate rose to 61.6% from 61.4%. Annual Average Hourly Earnings growth eased slightly to 3.1% from 3.2% in July.
The upside surprise in job creation supports the US Dollar by easing concerns over a sharp labour-market deterioration. That boost is not enough to push USD/JPY significantly higher on this tape, as BoJ tightening expectations keep the yen firm and offset the Greenback’s positive reaction.
The later Japan MoF likely Treasuries sales to fund record yen intervention is a separate reserves stamp — distinct from this post-NFP USD/JPY hold.
Takaichi adviser Aida’s BoJ September hike then quarterly path is a separate policy-path stamp — distinct from this post-NFP USD/JPY hold.
GBP/JPY’s six-month low below 209.00 is a separate yen-cross tape — distinct from this BoJ / Japan / EUR-GBP note.
USD/JPY’s test near 154.00 is a separate European-session yen tape — distinct from this BoJ / Japan / GBP-JPY note.
Informational only. Not trading advice, signals, or a guarantee of any market outcome.
Written and fact-checked with AI assistance, reviewed by a human editor before publication.
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USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.

GBP/USD under pressure near 1.3525 (−0.17%) as hot PPI keeps a September Fed hike in play. FedWatch nearly 70% chance of a 25 bp increase; Brent above $100.

USD/INR hits a fresh 10-day high at 95.47 as oil extends its rally on intact US–Iran tensions. RBI still intervening in spot and NDF; FCNR mobilisation stamped at $136.38bn.