Analysis: What Past Halving Cycles Do and Don't Tell Us
Historical patterns around Bitcoin halvings are seductive, but sample size and a maturing market argue for humility in cycle forecasting.
Beyond headline rates, shifts in central-bank balance sheets and reserve balances are quietly steering the path of stocks and crypto alike.
Senior markets reporter with a focus on crypto and DeFi.
Investors fixate on policy rates, but the plumbing of liquidity often matters more for asset prices.
When net liquidity expands, risk assets tend to grind higher regardless of the policy-rate narrative; when it contracts, even good news struggles to lift markets.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your view.
Historical patterns around Bitcoin halvings are seductive, but sample size and a maturing market argue for humility in cycle forecasting.
As AI-related stocks continue their meteoric rise, analysts are divided on whether current valuations are justified by fundamentals or driven by speculative excess.
A weaker dollar, falling global rates, and improving fundamentals are creating ideal conditions for emerging market assets to outperform in 2024.