
USD/CAD Near 1.3815 as CAD Firms, Oil Extends Rally; FedWatch ~64%
USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.
EUR/USD slips to around 1.1605 (−0.18%) after August NFP printed +162K vs 56K, retreating from an intraday high of 1.1633.

EUR/USD comes under selling pressure on Friday as the US Dollar strengthens on the upbeat US employment report. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1605, down roughly 0.18% on the day, after retreating from an intraday high of 1.1633. That is the Friday 4 September 2026 stamp. The morning EUR hold around 1.1625 stays the pre-print sibling.
US Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 162K in August, comfortably beating expectations for a 56K increase on that page — the same print on our live NFP PRINT. Primary consensus consensus for the same Non-Farm slot was +55K; both consensus stamps are quoted separately and are not averaged. July’s reading was revised sharply higher to a gain of 21K from the previously reported 23K decline, while June payrolls were revised to 31K from 20K. The Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.1%, as expected.
The US Dollar strengthens following the employment report, while US Treasury yields also move higher across the curve. The Dollar Index trades around 99.20 after falling to a more-than-one-week low of 98.83 on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield retests 4.81%, its highest level since October 2023 on that page. Stronger employment figures revive expectations that the Fed could raise rates at its 15–16 September meeting — though next week’s CPI and PPI still matter before that decision.
On the euro side, weaker-than-expected Eurozone Retail Sales add some pressure — that miss is already live. Expectations that the ECB will raise rates at its 9–10 September meeting could limit the euro’s losses, as higher oil prices amid Middle East tensions keep inflation risks elevated on that page.
Informational only. Not trading advice, signals, or a guarantee of any market outcome.
Written and fact-checked with AI assistance, reviewed by a human editor before publication.
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USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.

GBP/USD under pressure near 1.3525 (−0.17%) as hot PPI keeps a September Fed hike in play. FedWatch nearly 70% chance of a 25 bp increase; Brent above $100.

USD/INR hits a fresh 10-day high at 95.47 as oil extends its rally on intact US–Iran tensions. RBI still intervening in spot and NDF; FCNR mobilisation stamped at $136.38bn.