
USD/CAD Near 1.3815 as CAD Firms, Oil Extends Rally; FedWatch ~64%
USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.
EUR/JPY’s rebound from one-month lows at 180.53 stalls below 182.00 on Friday despite a German factory-orders beat. Yen support on BoJ path hints and OCBC color keeps bulls capped. NFP still prints later Friday.

EUR/JPY’s rebound from one-month lows at 180.53 on Thursday stalls below 182.00 on Friday. That is the Friday 4 September 2026 stamp. The euro posts moderate gains against the yen and trims some of a roughly 500-pip sell-off over the prior two days, but bulls stay capped below 182.00.
Destatis July factory orders rose 2.5% month on month, beating a 0.3% consensus. The body prose stamps June at +3.7%; the embedded Destatis card stamps Previous at 3.1%.
Large transport equipment (ships, trains, military vehicles) rose 124.6% in July and drove the surprise. Orders for the key automotive industry fell 12.5%, which the page says may have tempered enthusiasm about the headline.
Markets are still weighing the sharp yen rally. Currency analysts on the page point to Bank of Japan officials hinting at a steeper monetary-tightening cycle over the coming months — not confirmed FX intervention by Japanese authorities. Katayama’s Bessent tape is the other live Japan FX note.
OCBC cautions against “extrapolating the latest pace of JPY gains,” but notes that the “combination of firmer BoJ expectations, softer UST yields and potential shifts in domestic institutional flows has turned the near-term backdrop more supportive for JPY.” Live USD/JPY and GBP/JPY are the other JPY tapes.
Eurozone July retail sales consensus was +0.3%, reversing June’s −0.3% — the live EZ Retail miss is the print.
Informational only. Not trading advice, signals, or a guarantee of any market outcome.
Written and fact-checked with AI assistance, reviewed by a human editor before publication.
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USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.

GBP/USD under pressure near 1.3525 (−0.17%) as hot PPI keeps a September Fed hike in play. FedWatch nearly 70% chance of a 25 bp increase; Brent above $100.

USD/INR hits a fresh 10-day high at 95.47 as oil extends its rally on intact US–Iran tensions. RBI still intervening in spot and NDF; FCNR mobilisation stamped at $136.38bn.