
USD/CAD Near 1.3815 as CAD Firms, Oil Extends Rally; FedWatch ~64%
USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.
AUD/USD trades at 0.7200, up 0.44%, on the Waller Thursday stamp. Soft USD after Waller’s hold-if-progress lean.

AUD/USD trades at 0.7200, up 0.44%, on the Waller Thursday stamp. Soft USD after Waller’s hold-if-progress lean.
A separate Friday Asian body puts the pair around 0.7210, extending gains for a third successive day. The same Friday page’s chart line prints 0.7212.
The Friday page writes that robust Australian Q2 growth lifted RBA hike odds for this month to 58% from 49% before the GDP print, with a move to 4.60% by November fully priced. CME FedWatch on that page reprints 50.2% for a September Fed hike, down from 63.2%. Two forces: higher RBA odds plus softer Fed odds.
August US NFP is due later Friday. A hot US labour print that re-prices Fed hike odds higher is the falsifier for this Aussie bid.
The August NFP PRINT is the jobs tape — this note stays the Asian AUD session.
Monday’s AUD/USD hold near 0.7200 is a separate URL — this note stays the Friday Asian AUD session.
Informational only. Not trading advice, signals, or a guarantee of any market outcome.
Written and fact-checked with AI assistance, reviewed by a human editor before publication.
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USD/CAD near 1.3815 after a 1.3835 high as the loonie firms and WTI extends near $97.20. FedWatch ~64% chance of a 25 bp hike on this stamp; DXY ~98.96.

GBP/USD under pressure near 1.3525 (−0.17%) as hot PPI keeps a September Fed hike in play. FedWatch nearly 70% chance of a 25 bp increase; Brent above $100.

USD/INR hits a fresh 10-day high at 95.47 as oil extends its rally on intact US–Iran tensions. RBI still intervening in spot and NDF; FCNR mobilisation stamped at $136.38bn.