Central Banks Extend Gold-Buying Streak Into Another Quarter
Official-sector demand stayed robust as reserve managers continued to diversify away from the dollar, underpinning bullion near record highs.
The gold-to-silver ratio has fallen below 80 for the first time in two years, a level that historically precedes outperformance by silver and broader precious metals rallies.
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The gold-to-silver ratio — measuring how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold — has dropped below 80 for the first time since 2022, a development that precious metals analysts are watching closely.
The ratio has averaged around 65 over the past 50 years:
When the ratio falls from elevated levels, silver has historically outperformed gold by a significant margin in the following 6-12 months.
Unlike gold, silver has substantial industrial applications:
Global solar installations are projected to exceed 500 GW in 2024, requiring over 180 million ounces of silver — roughly 20% of annual mine supply.
Silver mining stocks have begun to outperform their gold counterparts, with the SIL ETF up 32% year-to-date versus 18% for GDX. Analysts see further upside as the industrial demand narrative combines with monetary demand.
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Official-sector demand stayed robust as reserve managers continued to diversify away from the dollar, underpinning bullion near record highs.
Silver outpaced gold this month, propelled by tight supply, solar-driven industrial demand, and a falling gold-to-silver ratio.
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup have all raised their gold price forecasts, with the most bullish calls targeting $3,000 per ounce within the next 12 months.